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The fatal flaw with Brexit?

The leak of the Government impact assessments that show economic growth will be significantly lower under any Brexit scenario isn't really going to change much. Most Leave supporters have been honest enough to accept that there will be some economic pain but believe this is worth it due to the gains they perceive in increased national sovereignty.Let's assume that these reports are wrong and that they drastically underestimate the potential of a post Brexit Britain to strike trade deals that will more than compensate for reduced access to the single market and that ultimately leaving the EU will make us all richer. The problem here is that although overall in this scenario there would be more winners and losers, the losers will be announced before we know who the winners are. The economic adjustment that needs to take place, even in an ultimately positive change, will first require industries who rely on single market access to retrench. There will be a lag before the positive impact of all the new trade deals feed through as it can take months and years to build up supply chains and penetrate new markets.The more access we want to the single market the less flexibility we will be allowed in determining our own trade policies. If Theresa May had got the majority she wanted last year she would still have had problems pushing through a Brexit deal that delivered lots of upfront economic pain due to a desire to conduct more independent trade deals. Now with the majority of her own MPs in favour of a softer Brexit and her grip on power tenuous she doesn't seem to have any choice but to move towards a deal which delivers the kind of modest changes that Philip Hammond described. The small rump of hard core Brexiteers led by Jacob Rees-Mogg will make a lot of noise but they won't force an election.So it looks like we end up with situation that nobody wants. We will be out of the EU but with a trading arrangement that looks little different to what we have now. We will almost certainly be required to adhere to EU standards but now will have no say in what they are. Freedom of Movement may end but there will be a modified system of preferential access for EU citizens that will look a lot like it.The only thing that could be said for the new situation is that it will reunite the nation as everybody will be able to agree we are worse off than we were before. We will be economically poorer, we will have lost many of the benefits of EU membership, our sovereignty will actually be diluted rather than enhanced, we will have given away control not taken it back and we will have little or no more control of our borders than we had before.

Andy Jones ● 3184d15 Comments ● 3170d

Community Self-Portrait Exhibition

Community Portrait Exhibition Library Trail – across Hounslow Libraries, February 1-28, 2018 A bold photographic exhibition showing the human face of social care will be running in four Hounslow libraries throughout February 2018. Isleworth, Feltham and Heston libraries and Hounslow Civic Centre will host ‘SELF–Portraits in Social Care’ an intimate and inspiring exhibition offering an alternative view of people working in, and supported by, social care. In total 100 images will be exhibited with 25 at each venue.The idea came from Certitude Community Development Manager, Jake Meyer who worked in close partnership with professional photographer, Dean Belcher, to create this collection of revealing portraits. Jake explains: “First and foremost this is a show about community. The photographs illustrate the extraordinary diversity of people living in Hounslow and put real faces to the concept of ‘social care’. Everyone featured in the SELF exhibition lives in Hounslow and is either connected with Certitude -  a social care provider supporting people with learning disabilities, autism, and mental health needs – or Age UK. People who took part were asked to reveal something about themselves that the viewer might not realise from their portrait and these thought-provoking responses are displayed alongside the photographs.  SELF Portrait Photography Workshop February 12th 2018, 2.30-4.30pm Feltham LibraryThe public will be able to respond to the exhibition at a 2-hour workshop hosted by Certitude and SELF photographer, Dean Belcher, at Feltham Library on February 12th. Participants will be able to explore self image through group discussions and hands-on portrait photography. To book your place, contact Ann Cartwright at ann.cartwright@hounslow.gov.ukDean Belcher, who is a highly-regarded fashion, lifestyle and portrait photographer is enthusiastic about the exhibition and the workshop: “I wanted to be involved with this project because I see how social care is often portrayed – it feels good to offer up a different side to this story with these diverse portraits.”

Paula Scott ● 3189d0 Comments ● 3189d